Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 0.000602 0.000692 0.000789 0.000898 0.001020 0.001149 0.001298
2025-05-11 0.000449 0.000571 0.000710 0.000880 0.001080 0.001307 0.001581
2025-05-18 0.000381 0.000518 0.000683 0.000893 0.001150 0.001451 0.001827
2025-05-25 0.000325 0.000470 0.000653 0.000895 0.001201 0.001570 0.002045
2025-06-01 0.000270 0.000415 0.000605 0.000867 0.001208 0.001631 0.002188
2025-06-08 0.000226 0.000369 0.000564 0.000840 0.001212 0.001685 0.002321
2025-06-15 0.000198 0.000341 0.000543 0.000838 0.001245 0.001773 0.002496
2025-06-22 0.000174 0.000316 0.000524 0.000836 0.001276 0.001859 0.002669
2025-06-29 0.000152 0.000290 0.000500 0.000825 0.001293 0.001924 0.002815
2025-07-06 0.000131 0.000265 0.000475 0.000808 0.001300 0.001975 0.002942
2025-07-13 0.000121 0.000256 0.000473 0.000826 0.001357 0.002094 0.003163
2025-07-20 0.000111 0.000245 0.000468 0.000838 0.001404 0.002200 0.003369
2025-07-27 0.000097 0.000227 0.000450 0.000828 0.001419 0.002264 0.003518
2025-08-03 0.000084 0.000207 0.000428 0.000812 0.001423 0.002311 0.003646
2025-08-10 0.000077 0.000199 0.000424 0.000824 0.001469 0.002420 0.003862
2025-08-17 0.000069 0.000188 0.000414 0.000825 0.001500 0.002506 0.004048
2025-08-24 0.000058 0.000170 0.000389 0.000799 0.001486 0.002523 0.004134
2025-08-31 0.000049 0.000153 0.000366 0.000775 0.001472 0.002541 0.004220
2025-09-07 0.000044 0.000144 0.000356 0.000772 0.001493 0.002612 0.004385
2025-09-14 0.000039 0.000136 0.000347 0.000770 0.001515 0.002684 0.004552
2025-09-21 0.000034 0.000126 0.000334 0.000760 0.001522 0.002732 0.004685
2025-09-28 0.000029 0.000116 0.000319 0.000744 0.001519 0.002765 0.004793
2025-10-05 0.000027 0.000114 0.000320 0.000761 0.001573 0.002888 0.005042